UNFPA Demographic Futures Survey and India’s Youth

Context: UNFPA Demographic Futures Survey
The UNFPA Demographic Futures Survey 2025 shows that Indian youth still aspire for marriage and parenthood.

However, socio-economic, gender and environmental factors are changing when and how families are formed.

Key Findings

Family Aspirations Remain Strong

Most young Indians still prefer marriage and children.

Two children continue to emerge as the ideal family size.

India’s Total Fertility Rate has declined to 2.0, below the replacement level of 2.1.

This reflects demographic transition, not a rejection of family life.

Economic Security Shapes Family Decisions

Young people are delaying marriage and parenthood because of concerns such as:

  • Financial stability
  • Affordable housing
  • Secure employment
  • Cost of raising children
  • Social security

Gender Equality Is Central

Women continue to carry a disproportionate burden of unpaid care work.

Lower female labour force participation also affects family and fertility decisions.

Better demographic outcomes require:

  • Shared caregiving
  • Quality childcare
  • Family-friendly workplaces
  • Equal opportunities for women

Demographic Transition Is Becoming Complex

Fertility behaviour is now affected by:

  • Climate change
  • Mental health concerns
  • Economic uncertainty
  • Regional differences
  • Urbanisation
  • Employment insecurity

UPSC Value Addition

Important Data

  • UNFPA Demographic Futures Survey: over 1.08 lakh respondents across 73 countries
  • India’s youth population aged 15–24 years: 255 million
  • TFR: 2.0
  • Replacement level: 2.1
  • Bihar TFR: 2.7
  • Sikkim TFR: 1.0

Policy Priorities

  • Improve women’s labour force participation.
  • Expand affordable childcare.
  • Provide parental support.
  • Generate quality employment for youth.
  • Strengthen reproductive healthcare.
  • Strengthen mental health services.
  • Use State-specific demographic policies.

Key Takeaway

India’s fertility decline should not be seen only as a population-control success. It also reflects young people’s concerns about jobs, housing, care work, gender equality and future security.

UNFPA Demographic Futures Survey
UNFPA Demographic Futures Survey
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UNFPA Demographic Futures Survey and India’s Youth

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