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De-Dollarisation

Concept and Drivers

De-dollarisation refers to efforts by countries to reduce dependence on the US dollar in international trade, financial transactions, foreign-exchange reserves and cross-border payment systems.

It can take several forms:

  • settling bilateral trade in local currencies;
  • diversifying foreign-exchange reserves towards gold and non-dollar currencies;
  • developing alternative cross-border payment mechanisms;
  • issuing international debt in currencies other than the dollar;
  • reducing reliance on dollar-based correspondent banking.

The principal drivers include geopolitical and sanctions risk, exchange-rate exposure, transaction costs and the desire for greater monetary and financial autonomy.

Global Context and India

The dollar nevertheless remains dominant because of the depth and liquidity of US financial markets, widespread dollar invoicing, large markets for US Treasury securities and powerful network effects in global finance.

Recent diversification therefore represents a gradual movement towards a more multipolar monetary system, rather than an imminent replacement of the dollar.

India has pursued limited internationalisation of the rupee rather than complete displacement of the dollar. Important measures include:

  • RBI’s International Trade Settlement in Indian Rupees mechanism introduced in 2022;
  • use of Special Rupee Vostro Accounts (SRVAs) by overseas banks for rupee-denominated trade settlement;
  • promotion of local-currency settlement arrangements with selected trading partners;
  • diversification of reserve assets, including increased importance of gold;
  • development of cross-border payment linkages and digital-payment infrastructure.

The objective is principally to reduce transaction costs, facilitate trade and improve resilience rather than pursue abrupt dollar disengagement.

Constraints and Wider Significance

Large-scale de-dollarisation is difficult because a global reserve currency requires more than extensive international trade. It requires:

  • deep and liquid financial markets;
  • freely accessible financial assets;
  • confidence in macroeconomic and institutional stability;
  • currency convertibility;
  • extensive international use and network effects.

This explains why greater use of currencies such as the renminbi or rupee in bilateral trade does not automatically translate into reserve-currency dominance.

De-dollarisation can reduce exposure to dollar shortages and financial sanctions, but excessive fragmentation of payment systems may increase transaction costs and reduce financial efficiency.

It should also be distinguished from reserve diversification: a central bank can diversify into gold, euro or other assets for portfolio-risk management without pursuing a geopolitical strategy of abandoning the dollar.

De-dollarisation is therefore best understood as a gradual diversification of the international monetary system, driven by both economic risk management and geopolitical considerations, while the dollar continues to retain substantial structural advantages.

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De-Dollarisation

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